Prediction of Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Gonzalo Bueno at Lima 2 Challenger 10-28-25

• Recent second serve performance indicates Alvaro Guillen Meza has an edge, winning 44.55% of these points compared to Gonzalo Bueno's 40.75%.
• On return games, Alvaro Guillen Meza also slightly leads, claiming 47.53% of opponents' second serve points versus Bueno's 46.33%.
• First serve return stats are slightly in favor of Guillen Meza as well, at 33.17% compared to Bueno's 32.95%.
• Under pressure, Bueno saves 50.23% of breakpoints, whereas Guillen Meza performs slightly better, saving 52.20% of critical points.
• Both players have a similar match win percentage over the past year, with Bueno at 57.14% and Guillen Meza at 56.92%.
• Both excel on clay, each winning 56% of matches on this surface, but neither has shown prowess on indoor hard courts.
• In Challenger and ITF tournaments, Bueno has a win rate of 55.22%. Guillen Meza is close behind with 52.08%.
• Historically, Guillen Meza wins more often, leading direct head-to-head 2-1 in matches and 5-3 in sets.
• Average match duration is over two hours, indicating competitive, drawn-out encounters.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Bueno has an advantage with a 71% success rate compared to Guillen Meza's 48% over the past year.
• Both players tend to face similar quality opponents, with Bueno encountering slightly higher-ranked competition.

Editorial Prediction (October 27, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Gonzalo Bueno and Alvaro Guillen Meza promises to be another close contest. Both players have shown comparable performance over the past year, with evenly matched win percentages and similar effectiveness on their preferred clay surface.

Guillen Meza has a slight edge when it comes to return games and under-pressure scenarios, such as breakpoint saves. His historical head-to-head advantage against Bueno also suggests confidence in crucial moments.

Conversely, if this match progresses to a deciding set, Gonzalo Bueno may possess the psychological and tactical edge, given his strong record in closing sets over the past year.

Despite the strengths and weaknesses of each player, Alvaro Guillen Meza appears to have a marginally superior statistical edge heading into this matchup, tipping the scales in his favor as the likely victor.